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Message  Александр Mer 28 Sep - 14:24

Putin faces dilemma after vote win: How to prolong a system based on himself

Vladimir Putin appears politically invincible after Russia's ruling party won its biggest ever parliamentary majority this month. But he faces an increasingly pressing dilemma: How best to ensure the survival of a system built around himself.
With a presidential election due in March 2018, Putin, 63, must decide whether or not to run again. He must also decide whether to bring that vote forward to 2017 to reset the system early to hedge against the risk of a flat-lining economy.

Few outside his tiny coterie know what he will do. Most Kremlin-watchers are sure he will run again and win, delaying the successor question until 2024. Others say he may surprise.

On the face of it, staying on looks to be an obvious choice. Polls give Putin an approval rating of about 80 percent, the ruling United Russia party just won 76 percent of seats in parliament, and his annexation of Ukraine's Crimea sealed his savior-of-the-nation image in many Russian eyes.

But beneath the surface, Putin's problems are piling up. They include what is forecast to be an anemic economic recovery, the lack of an obvious successor, voter apathy, his own complaints about the physical demands of the job, and the risk of destabilizing clan infighting inside the system.

Increasingly, it also seems that the only way Moscow can reset ties with the West would be for Putin to stand aside. The United States and European Union imposed economic sanctions over Russia's actions in Ukraine in 2014 and thus far there has been little sign of a lifting of trade restrictions.

Nikolai Petrov, a political analyst at Moscow's Higher School of Economics, believes Putin could preserve the system's legitimacy if he handed over to a handpicked successor in 2018.

"It's a possible scenario," Petrov told Reuters.

He said he was skeptical Putin would choose that path, however, despite being under pressure to find alternative ways of maintaining broad support for the system beyond nationalism and foreign military adventures.

"Putin is a hostage of his own popularity," said Petrov.

People who know Putin say he is growing weary. In an unguarded moment picked up by microphones last year, he was heard complaining about how little he slept.

One former high-ranking official close to the Kremlin said Putin, in power either as president or prime minister for nearly 16 years, was fatigued.

"Putin is tired, he's getting older," the source, who declined to be named, told Reuters.

Dmitry Gudkov, a liberal opposition politician who lost his seat in this month's elections, told Reuters Putin looked certain to run again regardless because he was afraid stepping down might leave him vulnerable to prosecution for his actions in Ukraine.

"With a lot of enemies both inside and outside the country, he's starting to feel less secure. It doesn't look like a time when he'd give up control," said Gudkov.

Putin is fond of a surprise though. Many thought he would not step down from the presidency in 2008, but he did, albeit to make a triumphant return to the office four years later.

The source close to the Kremlin said the outcome of the U.S. presidential election and how the winner dealt with Russia initially was likely to influence Putin's decision.

"Putin is rather taken by global politics and won't run unless 'a firm hand' is needed," said the source. "Otherwise he will leave it to (Prime Minister Dmitry) Medvedev."

Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton would take a tough line with Moscow, unlike Republican contender Donald Trump who has said he wants to reset ties with Russia, people close to the Kremlin believe.




THE ENEMY WITHIN



The economic outlook is bleak. More than two years after the West imposed sanctions, their impact appears to be waning and the economy is expected to return to modest growth next year.

A continuing dearth of foreign investment, something that has played a major role in kick-starting growth in the past, means the recovery is likely to take years however and growth is forecast to reach only around 0.5 percent in 2017 and stay that way for a prolonged period.

Maintaining a semblance of popular support amid signs that growing numbers of voters believe their participation in elections is an empty ritual is becoming harder too.

Turnout at the Sept. 18 vote fell to a post-Soviet low.

And while there are no signs of serious unrest among the elite, Putin's allies are starting to worry that a threat might emerge from within the system one day.

"Our state is always destroyed from the top and from inside," Dmitry Olshansky, a columnist for the pro-Kremlin Komsomolskaya Pravda tabloid, wrote after the election, saying the appearance of the state's victory might be deceptive.

Such fears and the need to reshuffle officials to create the impression that the system is renewing itself help explain why Putin has replaced a slew of senior Kremlin, security and regional officials in recent months, a process seen continuing.




EARLY ELECTIONS?



Putin will have to make his mind up about the timing of the next presidential election soon.

Alexei Kudrin, an economics adviser to the government and a former finance minister, suggested bringing the vote forward to next year from 2018, saying that would allow the authorities to win a new mandate to launch tough reforms.

Kudrin, a Putin ally, did not say who he thought should stand, but the country's elite assumed he was talking about Putin.

The finance ministry fueled speculation that such a decision has already been taken, publishing a letter in July talking about a presidential vote in 2017.

The same source close to the Kremlin said there was now a more than 50 percent chance of an early presidential election.

Political analyst Petrov said he thought early elections were highly likely unless Trump won the U.S. presidency and lifted sanctions.

A different source close to the Kremlin said:

"By 2018, the economy won't be any better and the population will be weary. There will be more negativity around, Putin's rating will be falling, and our financial reserves will be running out," the source, who also declined to be named, said.

"All this backs the argument for early elections."




OPERATION SUCCESSOR



Even if, as is widely expected, Putin decides to run for president again, he will need to begin preparing a successor.

After years of fawning state TV coverage, many voters say they struggle to imagine political life without Putin.

"The president will find himself in a trap," the Carnegie Moscow Center said this month. "Legitimacy bestowed on a charismatic leader is not automatically passed down to his successors."

The only other politician regularly given prominence on state TV is Medvedev, the prime minister. He stood in as president from 2008-12 to help Putin skirt a constitutional ban on anyone serving more than two back-to-back presidential terms.

He is a potential successor, though many voters find his style too soft.

Speculation about other possible successors ranges from the defense minister to the governor of the central bank to the new and unknown head of the presidential administration.

One new name to have emerged after the elections is Vyacheslav Volodin, the former deputy head of the presidential administration. Putin has said Volodin should be the new speaker of parliament, a job that would give him a high public profile.



(Additional reporting by Elena Fabrichnaya, Katya Golubkova and Daria Korsunskaya; Editing by Janet McBride)
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Message  benoit77 Jeu 29 Sep - 18:10

La Russie, après avoir fait des pieds et mains pour obtenir une limitation de la production du brut de l'Opep, décide de maintenir sa propre production.

http://www.zonebourse.com/LONDON-BRENT-OIL-4948/actualite/opep-La-Russie-ne-veut-pas-modifier-sa-production-apres-l-accord-Opep-23136380/

M'étonnerait que ça dure.
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Message  Matt Jeu 29 Sep - 22:13

Ah ben hier les médias disaient que l'OPEP allait limiter sa production à 750 000 barils par jour.
Bon, honnêtement je ne sais pas ce que ça signifie ne connaissant pas la production "normale" . . . 
Va savoir si c'est plus ou moins?

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Message  Krispoluk Jeu 29 Sep - 22:32

Ca c'est de la gesticulation médiatique pour créer un effet psychologique sur les bourses de matières premières mais ils ont tous le coteau sous la gorge financièrement, alors chacun va continuer à produire à qui mieux mieux, secrètement dans son coin...

Les cours vont peut-être remonter quelques semaines et quand on s'apercevra que les stocks ne baissent pas et sont toujours au plus haut, ça repartira à la baisse...

Sans compter que chaque velléité de hausse actionne immédiatement son contraire : le gaz de schiste redevient rentable et les énergies de substitution accélèrent leur développement, on n'est plus en 1973 ! Wink
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Message  benoit77 Sam 1 Oct - 23:29

Girkin s'enerve :
http://apostrophe.ua/news/world/ex-ussr/2016-10-01/eks-glavar-boevikov-dnr-razrazilsya-oskorbleniyami-v-adres-putina-opublikovano-video/72968
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Message  Александр Lun 3 Oct - 10:03

Bah, laisse-le . . .

‘Putin effect': Eastern Europe reaches for arms

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Troopers of Lithuania, Poland, and Ukraine Multi-National Brigade (Photo by Staff Sgt. Philip Steiner / dvidshub.net)

All Russia's neighbors arm themselves to avoid being "the next Ukraine." 
       

Eastern Europe arming itself because ‘no one wants to be the next Ukraine', military and political expert Paul A. Goble states in his article for Euromaidanpress.

"In what many are calling "the Putin effect," countries across Eastern Europe, including even Belarus, nominally Russia's closest ally, are now arming themselves even when they have to cut social welfare spending because, in the words of one commentator, "no one wants to be the next Ukraine."

This sacrifice makes them producers of security and not just consumers who rely on others, including NATO and the United States, whatever some Western politicians may say; and it is an indication of just how frightened they are that the Kremlin leader, however bogged down he may be in Ukraine, appears to them as a continuing existential threat.

Some of the increases these countries are making in their defense structures are usefully surveyed today by the Belsat news agency.

Poland has done perhaps more than anyone else, beefing up its territorial defense and increasing the size of its military, including the development of a system of reserves modeled on the US National Guard and plans to purchase new weapons systems in the coming years.

The Czech Republic, Belsat says, has moved in "the very same direction," approving a security and foreign policy strategy based on the proposition that Russia is now a major threat. It has increased defense spending, as has Slovakia for the same reasons.

The three Baltic countries have increased the size of their forces and their spending on defense. Estonia plans to spend over the next four years more than Belarus does. Latvia is raising its defense spending to two percent of GDP. And Lithuania is forming special forces and a trilateral force with Poland and Ukraine. The Scandinavian countries are also increasing their defense capacity and links with NATO.

Estonia, Belarus and Ukraine have retained the draft, and Latvia is thinking about restoring it in order to guarantee a sufficiently large defense force. Finland has a draft, and Sweden is now debating restoring obligatory military service."
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Message  Александр Lun 3 Oct - 12:34

Les rencontres avec Poutine c’est la légitimation du fascisme

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Un petit groupe d’activistes tient des affiches comparant Vladimir Poutine à Adolf Hitler, le 3 mars 2014, à Vienne (Autriche). (DIETER NAGL / AFP)

Le photographe Sergei Loiko, dont les œuvres sur la Donbass ont été victimes d’un pogrom au Centre Sakharov, a comparé la Russie moderne à l’Italie fasciste. La comparaison est effectivement proche de la vérité, quand déjà une deuxième exposition est vandalisée à Moscou dans la même journée – cette fois non pas à cause de la nudité, mais à cause de sa thématique ukrainienne et en même temps on interdit le Majlis des Tatars de Crimée, cela ressemble vraiment au début de la folie publique et juridique sous Mussolini ou Hitler.

A ceci près que Mussolini avait d’abord lâché les milices dans les rues, puis a commencé la guerre. Et Poutine parvient à faire les deux en même temps. Et les accusations d’implication de la Russie dans la destruction de l’avion de ligne ont été prononcés les jours, quand les milices vandalisaient les expositions. Mussolini lui même serait jaloux.

Le fait que la Russie ressemble de plus en plus à un pays fasciste, ne me surprend pas. Ce qui est surprenant, c’est que ni à l’ Occident ni en Russie ni en Ukraine on ne veut obstinément pas le voir. Quand les démocrates russes participent à la campagne électorale – et ils font face aux partis fascistes et communistes et la machine d’un Etat fasciste elle-même – que veulent-ils obtenir? Peut-on gagner contre des fascistes? Peut-on siéger avec dans un même parlement? Quand des experts ukrainiens viennent pour prendre part à des émission de la télévision russe – ne se rendent-ils pas compte qu’ils deviennent des rouages dans la machine de la propagande d’un État fasciste? Lorsque des citoyens ukrainiens viennent à Moscou pour se promener ou travailler – ne comprennent-ils pas qu’ils marchent dans les rues de Berlin ou à Rome des années 30?

Mais le plus répugnant ce sont les rencontres avec Poutine. Quand des politiciens rencontrent un autocrate, impliqué dans les crimes terribles de ces dernières années – je peux encore comprendre le dialogue, l’apaisement, tout cela. Mais quand Poutine est invité en visite à Helsinki? A Paris !!!

Il y a un film magnifique « Thé avec Mussolini », le personnage principal est une vraie dame britannique qui rencontre le dictateur dans l’espoir qu’il sera en mesure de protéger ses compatriotes des milices. Je me suis rappelé de ce film, lorsque ces gentlemen britanniques de Eaton ont pris du thé avec Poutine et puis ont partagé leurs joyeuses expériences  sur les réseaux sociaux.
La différence est que entre la rencontre de la dame avec Mussolini et la rencontre des messieurs de Eaton avec Poutine il y a eu la Seconde Guerre mondiale. On constate qu’elle n’a pas changé grand chose.

Source : article de Vitaliy Portnikov


Et encore un otage:

Ukrainian reporter arrested in Moscow on "espionage" charges

Ukrainian journalist Roman Sushchenko of Ukrinform news agency was spotted in the Moscow-based pre-trial detention facility Lefortovo by members of NGO Public Monitoring Commission of Moscow, OpenRussia reports.

Et en Russie ! - Page 15 1475431250-6352
Roman Sushchenko profile at Linkedin


Lefortovo court in Moscow has arrested Mr Sushchenko on “espionage” charges (Art.276 of the Criminal Code of the Russian Federation), reads the report.

"In a cell of the quarantine department of the Lefortovo prison we accidentally bumped into a 47-year-old citizen of Ukraine Roman Sushchenko. He has told us that he is a journalist, who is accused of espionage. Sushchenko could not tell us of the details of his detention and the charges against him. Lefortovo personnel forbade us to ask him about the criminal case," a member of the NGO Zoya Svetova said.

In turn, Sushchenko told human rights activists that psychological pressure had been exerted on him during arrest. The investigator did not allow him to call home and tell his wife about his arrest, according to the journalist. The FSB investigation provided a state lawyer to defend the Ukrainian citizen.


Sushchenko asked the human rights activists to reach the Consul of Ukraine in Moscow.

"The Ukrainian Consul has already confirmed the information about the arrest of this journalist in Russia," the publication wrote.

It is also noted that at present, Valentin Vyhovskiy is serving a 14-year sentence for “espionage in favor of Ukraine” in Russia’s Kirov region. Viktor Shur, a citizen of Russia, is serving his 12-year sentence in Bashkortostan, having been charged with "spying for Ukraine."
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Message  benoit77 Lun 3 Oct - 19:10

Le MAE appelle les ukrainiens à ne plus se rendre en Russie.
Il est temps ! ça fait plus deux ans que l'arbitraire contre l’Ukraine fait rage en Russie

http://news.liga.net/news/politics/12952845-mid_prizyvaet_ukraintsev_vozderzhatsya_ot_poezdok_v_rossiyu.htm
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Message  Matt Lun 3 Oct - 19:44

C'est suite à l'arrestation du journaliste de Ukrinform . . . 
Il est question d'établir les visas pour les russes.

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Message  benoit77 Lun 3 Oct - 20:02

Le kremlin pète les plombs:
MH17,la russie en appelle à la haye !:
http://news.liga.net/news/politics/12963524-u_putina_prosyat_gaagu_uchest_opravdaniya_rossii_po_delu_mh17.htm
accord usa -russie rompu sur le plutonium:
http://news.liga.net/news/world/12952801-rf_priostanavlivaet_soglashenie_s_ssha_ob_utilizatsii_plutoniya.htm
Poutine  demande la fin de sanction le remboursement du cout des sanction, le retour à l'otan comme c'était en 2000
http://news.liga.net/news/politics/12953084-putin_potreboval_ot_ssha_otmenit_sanktsii_i_sokratit_nato.htm
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Message  Matt Lun 3 Oct - 20:17

Ben tient!! Et pi quoi encore?

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Message  benoit77 Lun 3 Oct - 22:29

Matt a écrit:Ben tient!! Et pi quoi encore?

+ le retour à l’URSS et à la guerre froide
+ les clefs de l'empire ottoman
+ un droit de préemption sur l'asie, l'afrique, l'amerique du sud, l'europe
+ tous les droits sur les pôles nord et sud, la lune, mars
+ tous les droits sur les mers, les fonds océaniques, l'eau de pluie
+ 10€ pour s'acheter des sucettes
+ 2 feuilles de PQ pour torcher son caca nerveux
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Message  Александр Mar 4 Oct - 7:44

Laughing
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Message  Александр Mar 4 Oct - 9:17

Conséquence: voir "Et en Syrie". Wink
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Message  Александр Mar 4 Oct - 9:36

How FSB arrested Ukrainian journalist in Moscow – video

Lefortovo court in Moscow has arrested Mr Sushchenko on ”espionage” charges (Art.276 of the Criminal Code of the Russian Federation).



Sushchenko told human rights activists that psychological pressure had been exerted on him during arrest. The investigator did not allow him to call home and tell his wife about his arrest, according to the journalist.

Ukrinform correspondent Sushchenko arrested for two months in Moscow

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The Moscow Lefortovsky Court has arrested Ukrinform correspondent Roman Sushchenko until November 30.

This has been reported by TASS.

"The Moscow Lefortovsky Court has arrested Ukrinform correspondent Roman Sushchenko until November 30," reads a statement.

As it was reported, Roman Sushchenko was detained on Friday, September 30, in Moscow following Russian media reports accusing him of ‘espionage’.

Les réactions:

Groysman condemns arrest of Ukrinform correspondent Sushchenko

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Prime Minister Volodymyr Groysman has condemned the arrest of Roman Sushchenko, own correspondent of Ukrinform National News Agency, in Russia.
Groysman wrote this on his Facebook page.

"I personally condemn the arrest of Roman Suschenko and call on the international community and international human rights organizations to speak in favor of the Ukrainian journalist and all other Ukrainian citizens, who have become political prisoners," he wrote.

As reported, Roman Sushchenko was detained on Friday, September 30, in Moscow following Russian media reports accusing him of ‘espionage’. Roman at the time of arrest was on vacation and arrived in Moscow for private purposes. Ukrinform and Sushchenko’s wife concluded an agreement with lawyer Mark Feygin who will defend Roman Sushchenko. Roman Suchshenko is being kept in Moscow's Lefortovo prison.

European Alliance of News Agencies urges Russia to provide details explaining arrest of Sushchenko


The Board of the European Alliance of News Agencies (EANA) has urged the Russian authorities to provide more details explaining the arrest of Ukrinform correspondent Roman Sushchenko in Moscow.



This has been stated in a statement made by the Board of the European Alliance of News Agencies, which was signed by EANA President Jonas Eriksson and Secretary General Erik Nylen.



"Russian authorities must release more details explaining the arrest of Roman Sushchenko and he must get guaranteed qualified, fast and fair legal assistance and the right to contact his family. If trustworthy evidence against him cannot be immediately presented, he should be released and allowed to return to his home country," reads a statement.



The European Alliance of News Agencies (EANA) was founded in 1956, and today it includes more than 30 leading agencies in Europe. Ukrinform represents Ukraine in the Alliance since 1995.



As reported, Roman Sushchenko was detained on Friday, September 30, in Moscow following Russian media reports accusing him of ‘espionage’. Roman at the time of arrest was on vacation and arrived in Moscow for private purposes. Ukrinform and Sushchenko’s wife concluded an agreement with lawyer Mark Feygin who will defend Roman Sushchenko. Roman Suchshenko is being kept in Moscow's Lefortovo prison.


OSCE representative calls for Russia to release Roman Sushchenko

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Representative on Freedom of the Media Dunja Mijatović says she has addressed Russian authorities to give more information on the arrest of Ukrainian journalist Roman Sushchenko and called for his release.

“I am working on this case, this morning I addressed Russian authorities seeking more information and requesting release,” she posted on Twitter.

As earlier reported, own Ukrinform correspondent Roman Sushchenko was illegally detained in Moscow on Friday, September 30, on espionage charges. Russia’s FSB claims Sushchenko is a Ukrainian Defense Ministry intelligence agent. The Ukrainian Defense Intelligence rejects accusations and states “FSB information doesn’t correspondent to the facts”.

Moscow's Lefortovsky District Court arrested Roman Sushchenko for two months till November 30.

Rada chairman Parubiy wants tougher sanctions, visas for Russia

Chairman of the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine Andriy Parubiy proposes debates on the possibility of introducing a visa regime with Russia and expanding sanctions against that country, according to an UNIAN correspondent.

Addressing the coordination board of factions` and committees` chairmen on Monday, he recalled that in early 2016, he tabled a draft resolution in parliament, calling on the Cabinet of Ministers to terminate an agreement between the governments of Ukraine and Russia on visa-free travel.
”Perhaps, today it makes sense to revisit the issue of the introduction of a visa regime with the Russian Federation,” Parubiy said.
He also suggested ”discussing the expansion of sanctions against Russia.”
”It is within the Verkhovna Rada`s authority, and I also think it would make sense that we could talk over the expansion of sanctions against Russia,” he said.
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Message  Александр Mar 4 Oct - 11:24

Bonne question:

Pourquoi une église russe à Paris juste en ce moment?

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L’article original est publié sur le site de StopFake

La nouvelle cathédrale du Patriarcat de Moscou, située à deux pas de la Tour Eiffel, devient le second symbole architectural de l’influence russe en France après le Pont Alexandre III.

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Les coupoles de la nouvelle cathédrale orthodoxe de la Sainte Trinité du quai Branly dépassent impatiemment de la clôture de construction. La préparation pour l’arrivée de Poutine à Paris, prévue entre le 18 et 20 Octobre, est presque terminée. Les médias russes francophones fanfaronnent, disant qu’il ne reste que quelques détails pour la finalisation de cette œuvre. Officiellement, le chef du Kremlin est invité à l’ouverture du «Centre culturel», qui fonctionnera sous l’égide de l’église orthodoxe du Patriarcat de Moscou. Cependant, il y a peu de doute que le but principal de cette visite est la perspective de levée des sanctions exercées par l’UE contre la Russie.

Il est difficile de le prouver, mais il semble fort que Paris, en promouvant l’annulation des sanctions, tente d’obtenir de meilleures positions pour l’activité commerciale française et amplifier la coopération entre la France et la Russie. Autrement dit, c’est difficile d’expliquer  pourquoi la France a cassé la première le tabou informel sur l’invitation de Poutine aux capitales de l’UE, qui existait de facto à cause de l’annexion de la Crimée.

«La pression des milieux d’affaires sur François Hollande est trop grande, le lobby pro-Kremlin en France fait campagne pour «la restauration d’un partenariat complet », – estime un journaliste international français. Mais il est intéressant de noter que les élections de la Douma ont gravement affaibli Poutine. La participation officielle est de 47%, ce qui signifie qu’en réalité, elle était encore plus basse. «Russie unie», (en russe: Единая Россия) le parti de Poutine, a prétendument  reçu 55%. Alors, quelle est donc la situation réelle? Représente-il un tiers des citoyens? Ces données montrent que Poutine n’est pas un «leader fort» comme le lobby pro-Kremlin en France prétend. En vérité, le poutinisme n’est qu’une prise du pouvoir. Les élections à la Douma ont montré que les Russes n’aiment pas leur leader. Il le subissent silencieusement, sans faire plus.

A quel point les dirigeants politiques français, au plus hauts niveaux de responsabilité, chargés de l’ordre du jour lors de la visite du maître du Kremlin, se rendent-ils compte qu’ils vont  accueillir un «nouveau» Poutine affaibli? Seront-ils en mesure de profiter de sa vulnérabilité, pour ne pas céder sur des principes fondamentaux, aux normes du droit international, ce qui est extrêmement important pour l’Ukraine? Pas sur…

Ce qui ne fait aucune doute, par contre, c’est que l’avenir du «format Normandie» (la configuration diplomatique adoptée pendant la Guerre du Donbass) sera inévitablement évoquée. Il ne peut pas être autrement : Paris fait partie du mécanisme de consultations politiques engagées entre les dirigeants de l’Ukraine,  de la Russie et l’Allemagne et de la France.

Des experts parlent de plus en plus des nouveaux négociateurs qui s’imposeraient, étant appuyés par Kyiv : en particulier, les États-Unis, la Pologne, l’Union Européenne, l’ONU…  diverses versions sont examinés. Est-ce que Paris soutiendra l’élargissement du format de négociations? Vu la présidentielle qui s’approche – pas forcément, bien que l’espoir est toujours dernier à mourir.

Pourtant, les déclarations du ministre des Affaires étrangères, Jean-Marc Ayrault, sur le «devoir» de l’Ukraine à donner son accord pour le statut spécial du Donbass, laissent plutôt supposer ce que Paris prépare pour l’invité de Moscou : un accueil plus flexible qu’exigeant. L’inauguration du «centre culturel» russe aura lieu en Octobre, distinct de la dédicace de l’église, qui n’est pas prête. Pourquoi se dépêcher quand il y a une excuse légitime de reporter les célébrations à plus tard? En effet, la Russie n’a pas bougé le petit doigt pour la mise en œuvre des accords de Minsk, si insuffisants et approximatifs soient-ils. Pourquoi met-on à jour «l’alliance de l’entente chaleureuse russo-française» juste maintenant? Les questions sont nombreuses au sujet de cette église orthodoxe dans le centre de Paris, construit avec l’argent d’un État laïque.

En 2009, le Kremlin a acheté un terrain de 8400 mètres carrés à Paris pour 70 millions d’euros, avec l’accord du Président Sarkozy. Précédemment, c’était le service météorologique français qui était propriétaire du lieu. La Russie était mise en concurrence avec le Canada et l’Arabie Saoudite. Par ailleurs, «Le Nouvel Observateur» à publié un enquête affirmant qu’il ne s’agissait pas d’un appel d’offre transparent. Officiellement, les Canadiens ont changé d’avis, et les Saoudiens auraient offert une somme moins intéressante. La vérité ? Est-ce qu’on le saura un jour ?

Tout de suite, la Russie a annoncé un investissement supplémentaire de 100 millions d’euros pour construire un centre culturel, une école primaire franco-russe, une bibliothèque, un café, plusieurs salles d’exposition et une paroisse. Tout cela se situe dans quatre bâtiments à trois étages. «Personne ne devrait être induit en erreur par la rhétorique religieuse et contes sur la spiritualité, – dit Maria, une paroissienne de l’église russe à l’étranger. – La plupart des temples de la Russie sont délabrés et abandonnés. Il est étonnant que le berceau des droits de l’homme a décidé de livrer une tribune notable à Kirill Goundyaev, qui déclare que les droits de l’homme sont la fiction nuisible qui contredit la doctrine chrétienne. Dans ce cas il ne s’agit pas de spiritualité, ce n’est que de la politique».

L’église russe et le «centre culturel» se préparent à ouvrir leur portes au public, mais les Bons Samaritains dans le Parlement français ont déjà pris soin de garantir des droits diplomatiques à ce terrain et aux édifices. «Ce nouveau bâtiment a déjà  gagné le statut  d’inviolabilité territoriale auto-proclamée, formant une enclave russe au cœur de la capitale française», – dit Anne-Marie Goussard, président du groupe d’amitié France-Lituanie.

L’Assemblée Nationale prépare un projet de la loi relatif à la transparence, à la lutte contre la corruption et à la modernisation de la vie économique. Ainsi, on tente d’éviter la possibilité de confiscation en faveur des actionnaires de Ioukos. Le nom sonne bien, mais il y a un problème: ce document contient une disposition législative controversée sur la protection de la propriété des États étrangers. Beaucoup d’experts ont supposé qu’il y avait du lobbying en faveur de ce nouveau centre « culturel orthodoxe» russe située à deux pas de la Tour Eiffel. La Résolution de l’Assemblée sur le soutien de la levée des sanctions contre la Russie démontre bien que les députés français prêts à complaire au Kremlin ne manquent pas.

D’où vient cet enchantement à propos de la Russie? «L’historien Alain Besançon a bien expliqué la différence entre la vision politique française prévalant de tout ce qui concerne la Russie et la réalité géopolitique, – a dit dans une conversation avec Tyzhden.ua Jean-Sylvestre Mongrenier, politologue français. – Tout d’abord, il y a les souvenirs sur l’alliance franco-russe qui existait en 1890. A l’époque, la France sortait d’un certain isolement diplomatique et se trouvait dans une phase d’antagonisme dur avec l’Allemagne. Deuxièmement, c’est le résultat de la politique ambiguë de Charles de Gaulle, de ce double jeu liant anti-américanisme avec les tentatives de coopération avec l’Union soviétique pour la création d’une alternative aux relations entre Paris et Washington».

La mémoire de l’alliance franco-russe du XIXe siècle est immortalisée avec le Pont grandiose Alexandre-III, franchissant la Seine. Il faut comprendre que la nouvelle église russe à Paris symbolise non seulement la légitimation du régime de Poutine par l’église, mais la complaisance de la classe politique française aux nombreux crimes commis par ce régime.

«On peut expliquer les passions pro-russe des élites françaises par le fait qu’il est plus facile d’infiltrer la France que les démocraties anglo-saxonnes, qui sont moins centralisées. En outre, leur société civile est beaucoup mieux organisée, – dit l’historienne Françoise Thom. Nous voyons que pour le gouvernement, il est difficile de résister au lobby pro-russe».

La session photo triomphante que Poutine fera sur le phone des dômes orthodoxes sur la Seine dans quatre semaines sera un argument muet en faveur de la politique agressive du Kremlin. Ils donnent des raisons aux Russes d’affirmer leur influence et leur popularité. «La pire conséquence d’un tel comportement des Français renforce l’aile la plus agressive des dirigeants du Kremlin. Il nourrit leur espoir que l’Europe va céder car la France a déjà montré un exemple», estime Françoise Thom.

La coopération avec l’agresseur, un dictateur ou un usurpateur a une définition claire – c’est de la collaboration. Les politiciens occidentaux n’aiment pas employer ce terme quand il s’agit de négociations avec la Russie. Mais il est difficile de caractériser autrement cet encouragement de fraude politique. «Pour bien comprendre M. Poutine, dont certains psychiatres l’ayant examiné à distance ont estimé qu’il n’était pas toujours dans un état normal, il convient de prendre en compte deux facteurs, – a écrit dans son blog sur Huffingtonpost.fr. enseignant à Sciences-Po à Paris, Patrick Martin-Genier. – Il vient du KGB dont il fut un des derniers élèves, donc il ruse jusqu’au bout et cherche les rapports de force. Il continue aussi de mener la politique du glacis, selon laquelle les territoires proches de la Russie doivent rester en droit ou en fait sous son contrôle…».

Ainsi, Poutine viendra à la présentation du «centre culturel», que beaucoup de gens voient comme un officine d’espionnage, en qualité de nouveau tsar. Certes, ce n’est pas le cas d’un prince charmant mais le symbole de la présence ubiquiste de Moscou. Cela se déroule avec un aplomb mystificateur, malgré des élections infructueuses. Dans la version de Poutine, on peut considérer la Sainte Trinité comme l’unité du Patriarcat de Moscou, des autorités russes et des services de sécurité. L’inauguration même s’apprête à un parallèle avec une opération de  services secrets. Mais Paris ne veut rien savoir et continue de se bercer avec des histoires à propos d’une «coopération mutuellement avantageuse». On dit que les mauvaises compagnies corrompent les bonnes mœurs. Un suspense nous intrigue alors: quelle autre capitale européenne va imiter l’exemple de la France et invitera Poutine?

Par Alla Lazareva

Source: Tyzhden.ua
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Message  benoit77 Mar 4 Oct - 11:58

Le plus scandaleux est que le statut diplomatique ait été donné dans un anonymat quasi total.
La France perd totalement son droit de regard sur ce qui s'y passera.

Et pourquoi pas donner un statut diplomatique aussi à une mosquée pour que demain cela devienne une école coranique salafiste ?

Les pro-russes qui applaudissent cet ouvrage en feront-il autant pour un édifice arabo-mulsuman-salafiste ??
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Message  Александр Mar 4 Oct - 12:17

C'est aussi ce qui m'interpelle. Embarassed

Mais bon, plus rien ne me surprend, la preuve:

Une entreprise russe vend un lit pour enfants en forme de lance-missile

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Carobus

Le lit est en forme de lance-missile Buk, le type de missile qui aurait été utilisé pour descendre le vol MH17 de Malaysia Airlines en 2014.

Le 28 septembre, une enquête criminelle menée par les Pays-Bas a révélé que le vol MH17 de Malaysia Airlines avait été abattu par un missile Buk provenant de Russie et tiré depuis l'est de l'Ukraine, une région aux mains des sépartistes pro-russes. Les 298 passagers du boeing avaient été tués.

Pour les familles russes qui voudraient rendre hommage à ces missiles, l'entreprise d'ameublement CaroBus, basée à Saint-Pétersbourg, vend justement des lits pour enfants en forme de lance-missile Buk, avec drapeau russe sur le côté. La base du lit peut même être relevée pour imiter un missile prêt à être lancé, rapporte The Guardian.

Le lit, qui coûte onze mille roubles (157 euros), fait partie d'une collection de meubles intitulée «futurs défenseurs de la patrie» qui inclut également des lits en forme de tanks et d'avions. Interviewé par le site russe Fontanka, le directeur de l'entreprise a déclaré:
«Je ne vois pas ce qu'il y a d'anormal dans un lit comme ça. Certains enfants deviennent docteurs, d'autres boulangers et d'autres soldats.»
Les autres collections sont plus traditionnelles, avec des lits en forme de bateau pirate ou de lamborghini. Sur le site et le compte Facebook de CaroBus, de nombreux Russes ont trouvé le lit lance-missile scandaleux. Pour l'instant, seulement dix exemplaires ont été vendus.

Quant au gouvernement russe, il a refusé les résultats de l'enquête criminelle néerlandaise. Le ministre des Affaires étrangères, Sergei Lavrov, a qualifié l'investigation de «partiale et politiquement motivée».

Ils peuvent parler de politiquement motivé, quant est-il du journaliste arrêté hier? Suspect
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Message  Александр Mar 4 Oct - 15:01

Only international pressure can help release Ukrinform journalist detained in Russia – lawyer

Lawyer Nikolay Polozov says that only international pressure can help release Ukrainian journalist Roman Sushchenko, who has been detained in Moscow on charges of "espionage," from Russia's grip, according to TV Channel 112 Ukraine.


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ukrinform.ru


"At first, we need to see the condition Sushchenko is in. Secondly, the nuances that relate to his case, then it will be possible to build some further tactics. International pressure is the only way that works to release at least someone from the Russian Federation's grip. There is no other way," he said, TV Channel 112 Ukraine reported.

According to Polozov, Russia's FSB Federal Security Service is trying to gain time to psychologically break Sushchenko.

"First of all, the FSB is trying to gain time in order to psychologically break Sushchenko and make him cooperate with the investigators. If there is an independent lawyer, it will be virtually impossible to do that. It is important to establish the first contact. It is necessary to get to the detention center's territory. I guess it will be quite difficult," he added. Read alsoMoscow court rules to arrest Ukrinform journalist for two months

As UNIAN reported earlier, members of NGO Public Monitoring Commission of Moscow found Ukrinform journalist Roman Sushchenko being remanded in custody at the Lefortovo pre-trial detention facility. The Lefortovo court ruled to detain him on accusations of espionage (Article 276 of the Criminal Code of the Russian Federation) for two months.

On Monday, October 3, Russia's Federal Security Service (FSB) accused Sushchenko of being a Ukrainian intelligence officer.

Et tant qu'à faire, la Russie continue ses provocations, même en France:

Des bombardiers russes interceptés au large de la Bretagne


Le 22 septembre dernier, deux bombardiers russes ont été interceptés au large de la Bretagne par des Rafale français. Une provocation de la part de Moscou, qui rappelle certaines heures de la Guerre froide. 



Une nouvelle provocation de la part de Moscou? Deux chasseurs bombardiers russes ont frôlé les côtes bretonnes, le 22 septembre dernier, révèle le journal Le Télégramme, ce mardi, citant une note publiée sur le site du ministère de la Défense, le lendemain de l'incident. 

Un premier incident en février

Alors qu'ils volaient de la Norvège jusqu'en Espagne, les deux bombardiers ont d'abord été escortés par des avions de chasse F-16 norvégiens, puis par la Royal Air Force britannique. C'est cette dernière qui a averti la France, qui a envoyé à son tour deux Rafale pour les escorter de la Bretagne jusqu'au large de Mont-de-Marsan, dans les Landes, selon Le Télégramme.

Les deux Tupolev Tu-160 auraient volé à une centaine de kilomètres des côtes bretonnes, affirme de son côté RTL, rappelant qu'un incident similaire s'était déjà produit en février 2016, lorsque deux bombardiers russes avaient été interceptés en train de voler au large du Touquet. Ils avaient alors été interceptés et escortés par des chasseurs français et britanniques, au-dessus de la Manche.
 
Une provocation

La Russie n'ayant pas besoin de ce genre de vol pour obtenir des renseignements, les vols constatés le 22 septembre pourraient relever de la simple provocation à l'égard des membres de l'OTAN, relève Le Télégramme, qui y voit surtout un message de puissance retrouvée envoyé par Moscou à l'Occident, à l'heure où les intérêts s'affrontent indirectement en Syrie, et où les Russes ignorent les accusations des Nations unies concernant les bombardements sur Alep. 
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Message  Janchik Mar 4 Oct - 23:01

Encore un qui va mal finir!!! Même les chiens s'y mettent lol! Et en Russie ! - Page 15 Ct3jed11
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Message  Matt Mar 4 Oct - 23:38

Vont dire que c'est une photo prise à Kiev par la junte nazillarde . . .  Laughing  Laughing  Laughing

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Відвідайте Україну.
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Message  Александр Mer 5 Oct - 10:15

Préparation à la WW3?

Putin sparking fears of WW3 by ordering evacuation of 40 mln Russians – Express

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Putin and military drills (Collage by Express)

The huge four-day "civil defence" drill has set alarm bells ringing in Washington and London 
       

British ‘Express' published the article of Joey Millar today under the title "Is Putin preparing for WW3? Russia begins evacuation of forty million people in huge drill".

The author writes: "Vladimir Putin has sparked fears of WW3 after ordering the evacuation of 40 million Russians today. The huge four-day "civil defence" drill has set alarm bells ringing in Washington and London, with tensions already high over disagreements in Syria.

Following a breakdown in communication between the USA and Russia, the Kremlin has now organised the huge emergency practice drill - either as a show of force or something more sinister.

Read also Analyst reveals Putin's plans for Russia, Ukraine and Europe

The drill will prepare Russian citizens for "large natural and man-made disasters", according to the country's Ministery for Civil Defence, Emergencies and Elimination of Consequences of Natural Disaster.

The ministry revealed 40 million civilians, 200,000 emergency rescuers and 50,000 units of equipment are involved in the war game, which is running from October 4 to October 7.

A spokesman said in a statement: "The main goal of the drill is to practice organisation of management during civil defence events and emergency and fire management, to check preparedness of management bodies and forces of civil defence on all levels to respond to natural and man-made disasters and to take civil defence measures."

Read also ‘Putin effect': Eastern Europe reaches for arms

They explained the scheme would be divided into three stages: awareness, planning and evacuation.

The statement said: "The drill will rehearse radiation, chemical and biological protection of the personnel and population during emergencies at crucial and potentially dangerous facilities. Fire safety, civil defence and human protection at social institutions and public buildings are also planned to be checked. Response units will deploy radiation, chemical and biological monitoring centres and sanitation posts at the emergency areas, while laboratory control networks are going to be put on standby."

Last week, the US condemned Russia's actions in Syria, which it said were leading to death and destruction (UK did it as well, naming Putin deeds "unquestionably a war crime" - UT).

Relationships between the two superstates has now broken down completely, and this latest show of power by Mr Putin is likely to be welcomed by his American counterparts."

Read also Plutonium blackmail: Putin demands US pay compensation for his own countersanctions 
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Message  Александр Mer 5 Oct - 12:18

Fog of Falsehood:
Russian Strategy of Deception and the Conflict in Ukraine

Published 10.5.2016
Katri Pynnöniemi & András Rácz (eds.) 
                   
The Finnish Institute of International Affairs


Download PDF (1.24 Mb)

This report analyses Russian propaganda and disinformation – here collectively called strategic deception – concerning the conflict in Ukraine. The strategic deception is not exclusively a Russian term, but it does capture what we think is an essential feature of the current Russian foreign and security policy. It is driven by attempts to put the adversary into a defensive posture and off balance, and thus, to create conditions for surprise.

The methods utilized in contemporary Russian strategic deception are partly the same that were already used in Soviet propaganda. But where Soviet propaganda was anchored in ideological truth claims, the contemporary Russian variant can be compared to a kaleidoscope: a light piercing through it is instantly transformed into multiple versions of reality.

The main purpose of this report is to examine in detail the emergence and evolution of Russian metanarratives and the terms of distraction about the conflict in Ukraine, and on the basis of this analysis to ascertain the main policy objectives of Russian strategic deception inside Russia and in selected countries of the European Union.

It is concluded that the best defence against strategic deception is well-grounded, fact-based knowledge and the willingness to invest into gathering it. No fog of falsehood is able to penetrate the solid walls of well-grounded knowledge and firm commitment to one’s values.


NB: Errors that appear in chapters 9, 10 and 11 of the printed report have been corrected in the online version.

Brouillard du Mensonge:
Stratégie russe de tromperie et le conflit en Ukraine


Ce rapport analyse la propagande russe et de désinformation - ici collectivement appelé la tromperie stratégique - concernant le conflit en Ukraine. La tromperie stratégique est pas exclusivement un terme russe, mais il ne saisit ce que nous pensons est un élément essentiel de la politique étrangère et de sécurité russe actuelle. Elle est entraînée par des tentatives pour mettre l'adversaire dans une posture défensive et hors d'équilibre, et donc, pour créer des conditions pour la surprise.

Les méthodes utilisées dans la tromperie stratégique russe contemporaine sont en partie les mêmes qui ont déjà été utilisés dans la propagande soviétique. Mais où la propagande soviétique a été ancré dans les revendications de vérité idéologiques, la variante russe contemporaine peut être comparé à un kaléidoscope: un piercing lumière à travers elle est instantanément transformée en de multiples versions de la réalité.

Le but principal de ce rapport est d'examiner en détail l'émergence et l'évolution des méta récits russes et les termes de distraction sur le conflit en Ukraine, et sur la base de cette analyse pour déterminer les principaux objectifs de la politique de tromperie stratégique russe à l'intérieur de la Russie et dans certains pays de l'Union européenne.

Il est conclu que la meilleure défense contre la tromperie stratégique est bien fondée, la connaissance fondée sur les faits et la volonté d'investir dans la recueillir. Pas de brouillard de mensonge est capable de pénétrer les murs pleins de connaissances bien fondées et un engagement ferme à une de ses valeurs.

Proof of Putin’s ‘crime within a crime’ has far-reaching consequences, Eidman says

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Members of a joint investigation team present the preliminary results of the criminal investigation into the downing of Malaysia Airlines flight MH17 , in Nieuwegein, on September 28, 2016. (Image: Emmanuel Dunand / AFP) 


Proof that Moscow was behind the shooting down of the Malaysian airliner MH17 has far larger and more explosive consequences than many now think because unlike the Soviet Union’s shooting down of the KAL jet, this latest action was “a crime within the crime” of invading Ukraine, according to Russian commentator Igor Eidman.



That fact makes Vladimir Putin, now “an unmasked but not yet disarmed criminal” even “more dangerous” because he is likely to conclude that he has “nothing to lose” by acting ever more aggressively at home and abroad and every reason to do so in order to delay any day of reckoning for his crimes.



Some analysts have suggested that neither the USSR nor the US suffered “any particular consequences” when the first by intention shot down the Korean jetliner and the latter accidentally shot the Iranian one. But that was the case, Eidman says, only because these actions, unlike the shooting down of MH17 didn’t occur in the course of a larger crime.



He suggests that the following analogy helps to understand why the current case is different: If gangsters kill an innocent bystander while robbing a bank, “in recognizing that these gangsters killed someone, one cannot fail to recognize that they also robbed the bank and shot at policemen.”





"In the current case, if one has the kind of proof that the international commission has now provided that Russia shot down the MH17, “one must automatically recognize Russian aggression” because the Russian forces which did this were illegally on the territory of a foreign state – Ukraine – and were firing from positions acquired by aggression.




That puts the final nail in the coffin of Putin’s insistence that “’there is no evidence’ of the participation of the Russian army in the war against Ukraine,” Eidman points out. Now , it has been demonstrated that “the Russian president began a secret war against a neighboring European state as a result of which tens of thousands of people have died.”



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The Russian commentator continues:



“The entire world not only knows but has legal evidence that the blood of these victims is on [Putin] and his subordinates, and this means that they de facto have already been recognized as international military criminals.”




Those who suggest that Putin will now back down in some way do not understand him or his position. The Kremlin leader “cannot but understand that only remaining in office will defend him from a reckoning for his crimes.” He will thus hold onto the presidency ever more tightly, Eidman argues, and won’t even consider a 2008 arrangement in which he allows someone else to function under his control.



Putin will certainly continue to suggest that the conclusions about MH17 are evidence of “a conspiracy against Russia,” which may win him some support at home for a time. And he is likely to continue to try to present himself to the West as its ally against Islamist terrorism, although that too will be ever less successful given what he says at home and does in Aleppo.



The Kremlin leader’s next moves, Eidman argues, are likely to include both the imposition of “a chauvinist and xenophobic ideology” on the Russian people and more actions in foreign affairs based on the proposition that “’the best defense is a good offense’” with “ever more new military adventures” to follow.



As Putin himself has observed, “a rat finds himself cornered will lash out at those around him until he falls under the irreversible wheel of history.”



Puisque le centre Levada a été fermé, d'autres se chargent de son travail:



Survey: Most Russians say they want a democracy but don’t support democratic values



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Presentation of results of the survey "The Perception of Freedom by Inhabitants of Russia" conducted by the Friedrich-Nauman Foundation. September 28, 2016. (Image: DW/E. Samedowa) 



A majority of Russians – 57 percent – say they want to live in a democratic state, according to a new survey conducted by Germany’s Friedrich-Nauman Foundation; but an equal or even larger number of them support government actions that undermine any chance of Russia becoming a liberal democracy.



Among the key findings of this telephone poll of 1653 Russian citizens (as reported by DW and Shipilov) are the following:


  • 70 percent say that there is no need for freedom of speech or independent media outlets.
  • 65.9 percent say that the state should track the actions of its citizens and collect their personal data.
  • 60 percent say they favor a planned economy.
  • 60 percent say that government policies should correspond to the positions of the Russian Orthodox Church.
  • 53.6 percent say that Russia’s security agencies must have the right to violate the law in defense of the country. Only 42.2 percent oppose that idea.




In reporting these findings, some of the German foundation’s experts said that the contradiction between support for democracy as a general proposition and the absence of support for democracy in particular cases may reflect a lack of understanding of just what democracy in fact is.



The survey found that 34.1 percent of the Russian sample said they had difficulty in answering that question, while 39.1 percent said that “democracy is democratic rights and freedoms, 10 percent that it is the rule of the people, and 2.4 percent that it is anarchy.”



But Dmitry Rogozin, the director of research at the Russian Academy of Economics and State Service who oversaw this research, told Deutsche Welle that the divide between support for democracy and the lack of support for certain aspects of it does not in fact reflect ignorance on the part of Russians as to what democracy in fact is.



Instead, he said, it reflects something that many will see as even more disturbing: the fact that many Russians do not see democracy as having much to do with their lives and therefore do not place it at the center of their discussions about what the state is doing and what their role in the state actually is.


Un paralèlle un peu "osé":

Putin making the same mistake Hitler did, Piontkovsky says

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Hands clasped in friendship, Adolf Hitler and England's Prime Minister Neville Chamberlain, are shown in this historic pose at Munich on Sept. 30, 1938. This was the day when the premier of France and England signed the Munich agreement, sealing the fate of Czechoslovakia. Next to Chamberlain is Sir Neville Henderson, British Ambassador to Germany. Paul Schmidt, an interpreter, stands next to Hitler. (Image: AP) 

After meeting with the leaders of Britain and France, Adolf Hitler concluded that he was dealing with non-entities and that he couldn’t possibly lose a war against them, forgetting not only that these countries could and would change leaders but also that the outcome of conflicts reflects not just the qualities of leaders but the resources of both sides.

Et en Russie ! - Page 15 Piontkovskyi-150x150
Andrey Piontkovsky, prominent Russian scientist, political writer and analyst

Today, Russian commentator Andrey Piontkovsky says, Vladimir Putin is making the same mistake, concluding that the leaders arrayed against him are not in his league and assuming that because that is so, he and his country will not lose any conflict between Russia and the West.

When Hitler decided at the time of Munich that the leaders of Britain and France were “non-entities,” he was “at one and the same time both right and wrong,” the commentator says. “His tactical correctness led him to a series of major military successes, but his strategic mistake led to the final catastrophe” for himself and his country.

Et en Russie ! - Page 15 Adolf-Hitler-hosting-the-parade-in-occupied-Warsaw-after-the-fall-of-Poland-to-German-and-Soviet-military-invaders-Oct-5-1939-Image-Hugo-Jager
Adolf Hitler hosting the parade in occupied Warsaw after the fall of Poland to German and Soviet military invaders, Oct-5-1939 (Image – Hugo Jager)

The leaders of the democratic West over the last century have not always been models of courage and support for principles, preferring instead to make compromises and deals with dictators and betraying their allies in the process, Piontkovsky says, a pattern that reflects their high value on individual human lives.

But the dictators with whom they have dealt often have not recognized the limits of their own power or the limits of their opponents’ weaknesses. Instead, they suffer from “a psychological handicap” especially “at the first stage of their political clashes with the West,” Piontkovsky says.

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Ruins of the Reichstag, Berlin, Germany, May 1945

They view the West as irretrievably decadent and therefore they do not recognize the ways in which democratic countries, although often far too slow to anger and far too willing to use words when force would be a better choice, can change direction and use their superior resources to defeat the dictators.

Thus, they fail to see that Neville Chamberlain, who is infamous for his concessions to Hitler at Munich, would be the one to declare war on Nazi Germany when Hitler invaded Poland. And they fail to see that Britain and its allies were vastly stronger than Germany, which in most cases had to fight on its own.

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Russian invasion in Georgia in August 2008. A wounded Georgian woman in the town of Gori, 80 km (50 miles) from Tbilisi. (Image: Reuters)

In the last decade, Putin has fallen into the same trap Hitler did, Piontkovsky says. When Nicolas Sarkozy of France came to Moscow in August 2008 at the time of Russia’s invasion of Georgia, it is likely that the Kremlin leader told his comrades in arms that the French president was clearly a non-entity.


Putin’s view about the leadership of the West led him to think he could overwhelm Ukraine, and for a time, it appeared that his view was vindicated by the West’s failure to stand up to him.

But “the chimeras of ‘the Russian world’ and ‘Novorossiya’ evaporated above all because they were rejected by the overwhelming majority of Russians both in Ukraine and in Russia itself.”



To distract attention from his failures in Ukraine, Putin then went into Syria; and his views about Western leaders as non-entities were reinforced by the behavior of US Secretary of State John Kerry who for a long time played the role of “’sacred non-entity’” to Lavrov’s “alpha dog.”


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A Syrian woman carries the body of her infant after he was retrieved from under the rubble of a building following a reported airstrike on September 23, 2016, on the al-Muasalat area in the northern Syrian city of Aleppo. (Image: AFP / THAER)

But television coverage of Russian airstrikes on the people of Aleppo changed everything, including the judgments about Russia by various “non-entities.” In a matter of days, the representatives in the UN Security Council of the US, the UK and France used language about Putin and his regime that had not been heard before.

“’This is not a struggle with terrorism; this is barbarism,’ ‘absolute terror carried out by Syria and Russia,’ ‘war crimes,’ ‘Russia has become an outlaw state’ – such formulations were unthinkable for officials of such a level only a few days before.” And the New York Times followed suit with an editorial about Putin’s regime being “an outlaw state.”

It is likely, Piontkovsky argues, that in Putin’s bunker as he threatens war against a world far stronger and more opposed to him than he can comprehend, “some Russian Himmler has turned to some Russian Goering” and pointedly noted that “’Herman, the Fuehrer no longer is capable of fulfilling his responsibility as the guarantor of our holdings.’”
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Message  Александр Mer 5 Oct - 13:03

Il va être bien accueillit:

Putin's ultimatum to the next U.S. President - Bloomberg

Leonid Bershydsky on deterioration of Russia-USA relations and its impact on the next US presidency 
       

The next U.S. administration will inherit the worst relationship with Russia since Ronald Reagan called the Soviet Union an evil empire. Judging from the list of grievances that President Vladimir Putin has laid out, even a relatively Putin-friendly Donald Trump will have a hard time satisfying him.

Putin delivered his message to the future U.S. president Monday, just as the U.S. State Department announced it was suspending negotiations with Russia on a ceasefire in Syria and Russia-backed Syrian troops moved to take more ground in Aleppo. In a bill submitted to parliament, Putin threatened to end a joint U.S.-Russian disarmament program - in which surplus weapons-grade plutonium is processed into fuel - unless the U.S. meets certain conditions:


  • Roll back North Atlantic Treaty Organization infrastructure and reduce NATO personnel to September 2000 levels;
  • Repeal the Magnitsky Act, which imposed sanctions on Russian officials involved in human rights violations;
  • Repeal all U.S. sanctions against Russian individuals and businesses;
  • Compensate Russians for damages incurred by U.S. sanctions and by Russia's "forced countersanctions";
  • Present a "clear plan of irreversible destruction" of U.S. surplus plutonium. 


Putin might as well have said the program will resume when hell freezes over. "He asked for too little," Leonid Volkov, an anti-Putin politician, wrote sarcastically on Facebook. "He should have asked for Alaska back, eternal youth, Elon Musk and a ticket to Disneyland."

Le groupe "PPE" au parlement européen:

Russia: call for immediate release of Roman Sushchenko

Et en Russie ! - Page 15 133547049


"The accusations brought against Ukrainian journalist Roman Sushchenko, as well as his arbitrary detention, are yet another Russian act of aggression against rule-of-law principles and against the citizens of Ukraine. We strongly call for his immediate and unconditional release. We, moreover, demand for his rights to be protected and for granting the Consul of Ukraine unimpeded access to Mr Sushchenko, in accordance with the provisions of international law to which Russia has signed up. Given that numerous attempts to find a solution to ongoing tensions have already been made, this direct provocation is jeopardising any remaining trust and good will,” stated Jacek Saryusz–Wolski MEP, EPP Group Vice-Chair for Foreign Affairs, and Cristian Dan Preda, EPP Group Spokesperson in the Foreign Affairs Committee.

Roman Sushchenko is a correspondent for the Ukrainian information agency “Ukrinform” in France. He was arrested on 30 September while he was visiting his relatives in Moscow. On Monday Russia's Federal Security Service (FSB) accused Sushchenko of being a Ukrainian intelligence officer.

“Mr Sushchenko is a recognised and respected journalist. We are outraged by this arbitrary act, an act of pure provocation given the hybrid war Russia is undertaking against Ukraine and its violation of human rights and fundamental freedoms. The EPP Group and the European Parliament have called on Russia on several occasions to release Ukrainian political hostages. We welcomed the release of Nadiya Savchenko, but we remember all those that are still detained in Russian prisons, such as Oleg Sentsov and Oleksandr Kolchenko. There can be no business as usual with Russia as long as it doesn’t release all political prisoners and fully respect Ukraine’s territorial integrity and sovereignty,” insisted Saryusz-Wolski and Preda.

Further Reading

Et en Russie ! - Page 15 Crisis%20in%20UkraineHD_NEW
The EU's response to the crisis in Ukraine
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Message  Александр Mer 5 Oct - 13:10

Europe 1 @Europe1 5 hil y a 5 heures
Coupe du monde 2018 en Russie : "interrompons les qualifications tant que Poutine bombarde la #Syrie !" @DanyCohnbendit #FRABULpic.twitter.com/bJlT8ZhI71

Coupe du monde 2018 en Russie : interrompons les qualifications
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